I. Introduction
Substation is an important part of power system, which is the key to ensure the safety and stability of power network. Fast and accurate fault diagnosis of transformer substation is a powerful guarantee to improve the reliability of power supply. There exist some difficulties in existing substation fault diagnosis when dealing with the alarm information misstatement, omission, relay protection, breaker malfunction and tripping and such uncertain information. Therefore, it has important practical significance to study a kind of accurate and effective method to solve the problem of the uncertainty of the substation fault diagnosis.