Urban Crime Trends Analysis and Occurrence Possibility Prediction based on Light Gradient Boosting Machine

Big Data and Machine learning have been increasingly used to fight against Urban crimes. Our goal is to discover the connection between crime-related factors and the underlying complex crime pattern. Therefore, to predict the possibility of crime occurrence. Light Gradient Boosting Machine (LightGBM) Model is adopted in our study to predict the crime occurrence possibility based on actual crime information. We found that the prediction results are approximately consistent with an actual variation. We hope this work could help with crime prevention and policing.