Robust Forecasting-Aided State Estimation in Power Distribution Systems With Event-Triggered Transmission and Reduced Mixed Measurements

This paper is concerned with the forecasting aided state estimation (FASE) problem for power distribution networks (PDNs) subject to nonlinear measurements and limited communication resources. For the sake of using bandwidth more effectively, a special closed-loop event triggering condition is first designed with the hope to reduce unnecessary data transmission from the measurement side to the remote estimator. And an event-based robust filtering algorithm is proposed to improve the estimation performance of estimator with the nonlinear intermittent observations. In this algorithm, the measurement output function with high-order nonlinearity is reasonably reduced to a quadratic alternative form, in order to avoid the computation burden caused by the use of the second-order extended Kalman filter (SOEKF), the quadratic nonlinear function is further linearized by Taylor series with quadratic norm bound. Furthermore, an upper bound of the filtering error covariance containing some uncertainties (includes quadratic term and non-triggering errors) is derived and subsequently minimized at each time step. The desired filter gain is obtained by recursively solving a set of Riccati-like matrix equations, which is easy to implement via online computation. Finally, the effectiveness of the proposed algorithm is demonstrated using the standard IEEE 13-bus and 123-bus distribution test feeders with both phasor measurement unit (PMU) and conventional measurements.