A Model for Predicting the Number of EDPs and Cultural Loss

Sea level rise has become a major catastrophe in coastal areas. This study aims to explore the methods and techniques of sea level rise risk prediction and provide scientific evidence for formulating response strategies. This paper predicts EDPs population growth by building a grey Verhulst model of potential EDPs projections with a risk assessment model of cultural loss, and finds that sea level rise is most harmful to culture, and the risk of cultural loss is 71.99%. In addition, this paper also collects relevant data from 27 countries and constructs an equity distribution model to make effective suggestions for government management. We found that compared to the original cultural layout, the cultural layout of culturally weak and culturally weak areas remains basically unchanged and exists independently.