Analysis for Data Mobility and Covid-19 Positive Rate with Multilayer Perceptron

COVID-19 has been affecting human mobility to avoid the risk of infection. Movement restriction was one of the government policies to reduce the rate of infection. However, the mobility was still occurred to be recorded during the policy. This action has led to the problem of the number of beds on hospital have to be prepared for the peak of infection. This study developed a model using Multilayer perceptron as a useful theorem in regression analysis to see the fitness approximation over this problem. Five layers neural networks combination have been used to see the performance of the model to reach the best fit of the model. The process of the study includes data acquisition of the influence of community mobility over the positive number of COVID-19, managed hyperparameters, and calculate the results of prediction in the form of the length of time the patient would be infected with COVID-19 from 2020 to 2021. This study found that the infection was happening mostly after 12 days of human mobility activity in public area such as ATM, market, park, and any public area recorded by Google mobility data. It was also showed the number of infections after 12 days in order to prepare the number of beds on hospital. Furthermore, this study found the best model with smallest loss value on 0.01452617616472448 with the gap number of infection from public area as much as 77 persons.