Development Trend of Scientific Research and Technical Service Industry with Contribution Analysis to Tertiary Industry

Tertiary industry has become an important engine to promote the rapid development of national economy. From evolution analysis, we find there is a gap between the tertiary industry of Anhui and the whole country. Based on statistical yearbook from 2005 to 2018 in Anhui, we establish a macroscopic impact model. Empirical results show that scientific research and technical service industry has the greatest contribution degree to tertiary industry. Furthermore, a time series model for scientific research and technical service industry is provided, which shows the industry has an obvious upward trend. This paper can distinguish the key factor in the tertiary industry development and forecast its future trend. Based on the results, some suggestions are offered from the aspects of R & D transformation, talent introduction and industry innovation to promote sustainable and effective development of the tertiary industry.