Research on Meteorological Sensitive Load in Jiangsu based on Meteorological Dominant Factors

The highest load in Jiangsu generally occurs in the summer. In 2018, the highest load in Jiangsu has reached 106 million kilowatts. The meteorological sensitive load has an important contribution to the highest load. Based on the actual data of Jiangsu Province, this paper analyzes the meteorological conditions of Jiangsu summer in 2015-2018 by determining the method of comprehensive meteorological indicators, and determines the meteorological routine year for 2015 and 2018, and the meteorological high temperature year for 2016 and 2017. Based on the correlation principle, the correlation between meteorological sensitive load and dominant meteorological indicators is deeply carried out, and the fitting value and sensitivity of meteorological sensitive load corresponding to each unit meteorological indicator are quantified. Through in-depth study and analysis of historical meteorological load data, this paper provides an important basis for accurate load forecasting in the later stage.