South East Europe Electricity Roadmap (SEERMAP)

Three long term power market scenarios are used in the SEERMAP project to analyse the energy transition options for the SEE region. A deep `decarbonisation' scenario can be measured and compared to a `no target' scenario, with no explicit CO
₂
and renewable targets, and a `delayed action' scenario when targets are set later in the time period. The main drivers of these scenarios are the increasing RES deployment levels and the carbon pricing scheme, assumed to be introduced in 2030 for the non-EU countries of the region. The results highlight the strong decarbonisation potential in the region resulting from high RES potential. In the decarbonisation scenarios for most West Balkan countries, gas assumes a transitory role.