Probabilistic Impact of Transportation Electrification on the Loss-of-Life of Distribution Transformers in the Presence of Rooftop Solar Photovoltaic

In this paper, the impact of plug-in electric vehicle (PEV) charging on distribution transformer overload and loss-of-life (LOL) in the presence of rooftop solar photovoltaic (PV) is probabilistically quantified. The Monte Carlo (MC) method is used to address the uncertainties resulting from solar irradiance and temperature in case of solar PV and also to emulate the probabilistic aspect of PEV charging. Twenty scenarios of different penetration levels of solar PVs and PEVs are considered in this work. The results have shown significant reduction in percentage LOL due to solar PV contribution in the case of all-electric (AE) residential dwellings and hence the transformer replacement may be deferred by nearly 4 years, while it has a minor effect in the case of residential dwellings with gas heat and electric water heaters (WWH).