Determining Probability Distributions of Contributing Resources to Energy Generation in Türkiye by Maximum Entropy Method

The main purpose of this study is to determine the probability distributions of the contributing resources to the electrical energy generation in Türkiye between 1990 and 2020. The probability distributions of the observed resources are determined by Jayne's Maximum Entropy Method under moment constraints and are known as the MaxEnt distributions. The performances of the determined MaxEnt distiributions are established by Shannon's measure, Kullback-Leibler measure, the Root Mean Square Error criteria, the coefficient of determination. Moreover, the determined MaxEnt distributions are compared with the distributions of the observed resources by Kolmogorov-Smirnov and Chi-Square goodness of fit tests. As a result, it is understood from the above-mentioned performance criteria, the goodness of fit tests and the graphs that the MaxEnt distributions represent as the probability distributions of the observed resources.