An Improved Logistic Model for Estimating the Synergies Mechanism Between Manufacturing and Logistics

To reveal the internal mechanism of co-evolution between manufacturing and logistics, and to predict the trend of synergy of the two, this paper makes a small improved to the logistic equation, that is, the synergetic effect in the process of coevolution between manufacturing and logistics, which as a nonlinear influence relation on the environmental capacity of logistic equation, and then to establish the related dynamic model. The model parameters were estimated by curve estimation fitting method, and the forecasting model of manufacturing and logistics co-evolution growth equation was finally obtained, and the forecasting results show that the model has high accuracy and good prediction effect. The study shows that the working together in manufacturing and logistics appears to promote or eliminate the scale of a population, but its essence is to stimulate (expand or limit) the environmental capacity of the population, and this kind of stimulation is a function relation with time dynamic change. According to the different tenses of synergy, the state of the co-evolution development between manufacturing and logistics can be judged, which can provide the basis for manufacturing enterprises and logistics enterprises to make entry or exit decision.