Sensitivity Analysis of Hydropower Equivalent Parameters With Fast Identification Using PSO

Hydropower system Equivalents are fictive model reductions of a more detailed hydropower model of all individual hydropower stations within an area. The system Equivalent only has one or a few stations and can significantly reduce the computational effort compared to the detailed system. The aim is to at the same time maintain accuracy in power production. To achieve this a bilevel problem formulation can be utilized. In this bilevel problem, the optimal system Equivalent parameter values are calculated. However, this computation can be very time-consuming and the problem formulation is very complex. Moreover, which of the parameters are most important for overall Equivalent performance and accuracy is unknown. To get a better understanding of the system Equivalent model parameters and their connection to performance, this paper performs a sensitivity analysis and develops a method to determine the parameter importance. Based on these results methods to reduce the computational time of the bilevel problem can be devised, with an example given here. It is shown that the most important parameter is the maximum discharge limit.