Comprehensive Review on Uncertainty in Wind Power Forecasting-Models and Challenges

Over the past ten years, electric power systems have included large-scale wind energy generation. Modern power systems’ precise planning and operation are challenging under such high wind conditions, resulting in some inevitable inaccuracies in the forecasting processes. Eliminating these inaccuracies is tough; reducing their detrimental impact on decision-making processes requires proper quantification of wind uncertainties. This article addresses adapting more analytical and focused uncertainty mitigation techniques, thus standardizing these forecasting models with appropriate validations. It also focuses on understanding the uncertainty sources and their modelling techniques. It addresses the various sources of uncertainty present throughout modelling processes, analysis of the reliability and accessibility of models, and further recommendations for improving the performance of existing models.