Open Interaction Network Model for Recognizing and Predicting Threat Events

A model for characterizing communications behaviors has been generalized to a probabilistic model for intentional behavior. Responsive actions are decomposed into measurement, inference, planning and control components) and are predicted as a function of the estimated capability, opportunity and intent of given agents to perform such component actions. This representational scheme enables the generation of process models for predicting capabilities development (Technical Intelligence) and tactical operations (Operational Intelligence).