I. Introduction
Over the last decade a strong and continued growth of data (IP) traffic has been observed. Growth rates for data traffic vary from 30% to more than 100% per year, depending on the type of network. For example, traffic growth in private networks might differ from provider networks offering remote file storage services for enterprises or from networks of incumbent providers offering residential services with a mix of data and voice traffic from wireless or wireline phone services. However, it is widely accepted that data traffic will continue to grow over the next decade. The total traffic increase within that decade may vary somewhere between a factor of ten (26% Compound Annual Growth Rate, CAGR) and one thousand (100% CAGR). Predictions of required transport and switching capacities in the future are generally difficult to make for a variety of reasons. First of all, new high-bandwidth applications might emerge that have a significant impact on the annual growth rate and hence on the overall traffic growth over a period of five to ten years. Second, human behavior is unpredictable so that interests and needs years from now can not be foreseen today. Third, technological developments might quickly and significantly change the way content data are delivered to the end user and therefore also altering requirements and traffic demands in provider networks. As an example, we will discuss in the next section the developments in data storage and their impact on local content provisioning and backhaul capacities of networks. Nonetheless these challenges in predicting service provider networks five or ten years from now it is clear that more packet switching capacity is needed to handle the growth of IP-based traffic.